Scenario	Abbreviation	Key question to be answered	Scenario constraint		Optimization			Increasing domestic resource mobilization ($)
Scenario	Abbreviation	Key question to be answered	Coverage constraint	Funding Constraint	Prioritization	Technical efficiencies	Testing strategy	Increasing domestic resource mobilization ($)
1. Constant Coverage	CC	What impact will be achieved if current program coverage levels remain static?	2018 intervention coverage levels	--
2. National Strategy	NS	What will it cost to achieve the current national strategy?	National Multisectoral Strategic Framework IV targets	--
3. Optimization with Constant Coverage Funding	O-CCF	If technical efficiencies and prioritization are pursued to optimize Constant Coverage resources, what is the maximum impact that can be achieved?	--	Constant Coverage levels 2019-30 = US$ 5.5 billion	✓	✓	✓	X
4. Optimization with Declining Donor Funding	O-DDF	If donor funding declines, what is the greatest impact that can be achieved even when applying prioritization and technical efficiency gains?	--	PEPFAR declines by 15% every 3 yrs GFATM declines by 10%/3 years Government constant 2019-30 = US$4.5 billion	✓	✓	✓	X
5. Optimization with Domestic Resource Mobilization	O-DRM	If donor funding declines but the government mobilizes more domestic resources, what is the greatest impact achievable by implementing efficiencies and prioritization?	--	PEPFAR declines by 15%/3 years GFATM declines by 10%/3 years Government increases by 10.8 million/year on average 2019-30 = US$5.2 billion	✓	✓	✓	✓